---
title: "NGOOS'S RED FLOW case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "NGOOS'S RED FLOW ($1.49) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.29% over 4,596 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [NGOOS'S RED FLOW](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · NGOOS'S RED FLOW

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.29% · 4,596 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 296 openings · below min

7 days · 87.96% ±36.31 3,308 openings

30 days · 85.29% ±29.88 4,596 openings

since tracking started · 85.29% ±29.88 4,596 openings

24.0% 85.0% 146.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=24h) | 296 | 85.08% ±60.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=7d) | 3,308 | 87.96% ±36.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c) | 4,596 | 85.29% ±29.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-54e4ccc1c?window=all) | 4,596 | 85.29% ±29.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1.55 $536 346.1x 2026-11-05 19:35 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $1.51 $462 306.0x 2026-11-08 17:02 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $1.51 $461 305.5x 2026-11-04 06:34 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $457 302.9x 2026-11-07 22:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-54e4ccc1c)

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [Godlove](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Godlove) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [LuckyGalan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LuckyGalan) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [yungpacewun](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/yungpacewun) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [Godlove](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Godlove) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [LuckyGalan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LuckyGalan) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [yungpacewun](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/yungpacewun) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [Godlove](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Godlove) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [LuckyGalan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LuckyGalan) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [yungpacewun](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/yungpacewun) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [Godlove](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Godlove) $1.47 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $536 (346.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.29 on average: an expected loss of $14.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
