--- title: "Cheap AK+M4A1 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap AK+M4A1 ($2.18) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 36.20% over 38 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Cheap AK+M4A1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Cheap AK+M4A1 A case on Skin.club, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=all) Price · $2.18 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 36.20% · 38 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 38 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min 21.0% 35.3% 49.5% **Small sample.** 38 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=24h) | 4 | 23.01% ±1.20 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=7d) | 38 | 36.20% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149) | 38 | 36.20% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-6fd8d6149?window=all) | 38 | 36.20% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-6fd8d6149) [Souvenir Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-green-line-well-worn) Hidden $2.14 $0.47 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) Hidden $2.14 $0.52 0.24x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC [G3SG1 | Scavenger (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-well-worn) Hidden $2.14 $0.51 0.24x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-calligraffiti-battle-scarred) [DUNCE](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DUNCE) $2.14 $0.47 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) Hidden $2.13 $0.52 0.24x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-calligraffiti-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.13 $0.48 0.23x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-calligraffiti-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.13 $0.48 0.23x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC [G3SG1 | Scavenger (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-well-worn) [Itz\_Sylnt](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Itz_Sylnt) $2.13 $0.51 0.24x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-calligraffiti-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.18 $0.49 0.22x 2026-11-09 12:14 UTC [AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $2.18 $2.59 1.19x 2026-11-09 12:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 36.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $36.20 on average: an expected loss of $63.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt