--- title: "to the moon l5% case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "to the moon l5% ($0.81) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 12.64% over 26 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [to the moon l5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · to the moon l5% A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=all) Price · $0.81 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 12.64% · 26 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min 1.5% 11.2% 21.0% **Small sample.** 26 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=24h) | 14 | 10.81% ±8.89 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=7d) | 22 | 12.85% ±7.47 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9) | 26 | 12.64% ±6.64 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7ae8205b9?window=all) | 26 | 12.64% ±6.64 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-7ae8205b9) [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $0.86 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:42 UTC [Sticker | Black Shark Shooter sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-black-shark-shooter) [RamiI2ez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RamiI2ez) $0.86 $0.43 0.50x 2026-11-12 07:42 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) [RamiI2ez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RamiI2ez) $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Black Shark Shooter sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-black-shark-shooter) Hidden $0.82 $0.30 0.37x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Black Shark Shooter sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-black-shark-shooter) Hidden $0.82 $0.30 0.37x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) [RamiI2ez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RamiI2ez) $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $0.82 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 12.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $12.64 on average: an expected loss of $87.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt