---
title: "first knife CASE case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "first knife CASE ($0.77) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.38% over 672 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [first knife CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · first knife CASE

A case on Skin.club, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=all)

Price · $0.77

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.38% · 672 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 464 openings · below min

30 days · 672 openings · below min

since tracking started · 672 openings · below min

-0.5% 243.5% 487.5%

**Small sample.** 672 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=24h) | 16 | 170.76% ±316.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=7d) | 464 | 99.43% ±45.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4) | 672 | 92.38% ±39.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-7b84093d4?window=all) | 672 | 92.38% ±39.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife) [Marlex](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Marlex) $0.77 $51.45 66.82x 2026-11-04 05:43 UTC

[★ Survival Knife knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife) Hidden $0.74 $50.05 67.64x 2026-11-05 12:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-7b84093d4)

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [MAFAQKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MAFAQKA) $1.62 $41.98 25.91x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $1.62 $0.62 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [MAFAQKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MAFAQKA) $1.62 $0.62 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $1.62 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $51.45 (66.82x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.38 on average: an expected loss of $7.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
