---
title: "XXAA case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "XXAA ($205.12) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 50.60% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6
rendered: 2026-11-13T05:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [XXAA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · XXAA

A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=all)

Price · $205.12

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 50.60% · 36 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 24 openings · below min

30 days · 36 openings · below min

since tracking started · 36 openings · below min

-0.5% 266.8% 534.0%

**Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=24h) | 4 | 180.79% ±352.8 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=7d) | 24 | 60.93% ±57.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6) | 36 | 50.60% ±39.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8526ce3d6?window=all) | 36 | 50.60% ±39.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $208 $1,496 7.21x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-8526ce3d6)

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $208 $1,496 7.21x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $208 $1.63 0.01x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $208 $1.63 0.01x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [Trash Boat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Trash%20Boat) $208 $1.63 0.01x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $209 $1.61 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) Hidden $209 $172 0.82x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $209 $1.61 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [Trash Boat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Trash%20Boat) $209 $1.61 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $210 $1.58 0.01x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) Hidden $210 $174 0.83x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,496 (7.21x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 50.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $50.60 on average: an expected loss of $49.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
