--- title: "spacecsg Butterfly case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "spacecsg Butterfly ($445.63) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 125.75% over 24 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80 rendered: 2026-11-12T16:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [spacecsg Butterfly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · spacecsg Butterfly A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=all) Price · $445.63 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 125.75% · 24 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 21.0% 113.3% 205.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=7d) | 16 | 113.23% ±91.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80) | 24 | 125.75% ±79.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-89ce7ff80?window=all) | 24 | 125.75% ±79.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $445 $2,809 6.31x 2026-11-08 05:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $446 $2,738 6.14x 2026-11-03 00:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [twitchtv/spacecsg(LIVE)](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/twitchtv%2Fspacecsg%28LIVE%29) $447 $1,360 3.04x 2026-11-03 00:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $446 $1,326 2.97x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Victory777](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Victory777) $445 $1,312 2.95x 2026-11-08 05:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $445 $1,258 2.83x 2026-11-08 05:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Victory777](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Victory777) $446 $1,252 2.80x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $447 $1,234 2.76x 2026-11-03 00:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-89ce7ff80) [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) [Victory777](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Victory777) $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $446 $1,326 2.97x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $446 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Victory777](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Victory777) $446 $1,252 2.80x 2026-11-08 06:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $445 $1,258 2.83x 2026-11-08 05:41 UTC [Sticker | Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) Hidden $445 $10.68 0.02x 2026-11-08 05:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,809 (6.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 125.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $125.75 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt