--- title: "Farm Falchion knife ™ case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm Falchion knife ™ ($4.46) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.09% over 1,300 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm Falchion knife ™](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm Falchion knife ™ A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=all) Price · $4.46 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.09% · 1,300 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 184 openings · below min 7 days · 84.09% ±53.52 1,300 openings 30 days · 84.09% ±53.52 1,300 openings since tracking started · 84.09% ±53.52 1,300 openings -0.5% 157.8% 316.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=24h) | 184 | 130.39% ±184.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=7d) | 1,300 | 84.09% ±53.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0) | 1,300 | 84.09% ±53.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8a7c2bee0?window=all) | 1,300 | 84.09% ±53.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $4.52 $756 167.4x 2026-11-10 14:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $4.51 $700 155.3x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $4.26 $632 148.3x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $4.52 $602 133.3x 2026-11-10 15:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $4.52 $402 88.89x 2026-11-10 16:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) [WinnieLourson](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/WinnieLourson) $4.52 $402 88.89x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $4.26 $388 90.96x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.52 $278 61.59x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) [WinnieLourson](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/WinnieLourson) $4.52 $277 61.30x 2026-11-10 13:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-8a7c2bee0) [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) [You wont sum fuk?](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/You%20wont%20sum%20fuk%3F) $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) [You wont sum fuk?](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/You%20wont%20sum%20fuk%3F) $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.32 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) [WinnieLourson](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/WinnieLourson) $4.27 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Sticker | Fluxo | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.27 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $756 (167.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.09 on average: an expected loss of $15.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt