---
title: "10%Ultra case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "10%Ultra ($3.72) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.88% over 648 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [10%Ultra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 10%Ultra

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=all)

Price · $3.72

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.88% · 648 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 428 openings · below min

30 days · 648 openings · below min

since tracking started · 648 openings · below min

16.5% 99.0% 181.5%

**Small sample.** 648 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=7d) | 428 | 99.22% ±81.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4) | 648 | 72.88% ±54.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-8b50e04e4?window=all) | 648 | 72.88% ±54.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) [E R R O R Code 404](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/E%20R%20R%20O%20R%20Code%20404) $3.88 $576 148.4x 2026-11-06 21:45 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $3.88 $279 71.84x 2026-11-06 21:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-8b50e04e4)

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) [E R R O R Code 404](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/E%20R%20R%20O%20R%20Code%20404) $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) [E R R O R Code 404](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/E%20R%20R%20O%20R%20Code%20404) $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

[Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.89 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-07 01:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $576 (148.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.88 on average: an expected loss of $27.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
