--- title: "Cheap M4 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cheap M4 ($0.49) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.68% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Cheap M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Cheap M4 A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=all) Price · $0.49 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.68% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 7.0% 69.3% 131.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=24h) | 4 | 69.39% ±61.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=7d) | 24 | 75.43% ±21.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228) | 72 | 82.68% ±27.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9d5ce0228?window=all) | 72 | 82.68% ±27.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-9d5ce0228) [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.49 $0.80 1.63x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) [Bacardi\_92](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Bacardi_92) $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) Hidden $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.49 $0.22 0.45x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [Sticker | MOUZ | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-budapest-2025) Hidden $0.49 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [beau buck](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/beau%20buck) $0.49 $0.77 1.57x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.49 $0.22 0.45x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) Hidden $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) Hidden $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) [beau buck](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/beau%20buck) $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.68 on average: an expected loss of $17.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt