---
title: "Butterfly? case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Butterfly? ($44.03) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.48% over 68 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Butterfly?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Butterfly?

A case on Skin.club, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=all)

Price · $44.03

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 107.48% · 68 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 68 openings · below min

30 days · 68 openings · below min

since tracking started · 68 openings · below min

39.5% 107.5% 175.5%

**Small sample.** 68 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=7d) | 68 | 107.48% ±67.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21) | 68 | 107.48% ±67.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a1a5bde21?window=all) | 68 | 107.48% ±67.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $511 11.60x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $511 11.60x 2026-11-09 06:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a1a5bde21)

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.96 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [♕ hP ♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%99%95%20hP%20%E2%99%95) $43.96 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:55 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $43.96 $91.39 2.08x 2026-11-09 07:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [Not Moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Not%20Moon) $43.96 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [BubbleGUM](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BubbleGUM) $44.03 $3.56 0.08x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.03 $3.56 0.08x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [♕ hP ♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%99%95%20hP%20%E2%99%95) $44.03 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-09 07:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $511 (11.60x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.48 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
