---
title: "Old Farm M4 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Old Farm M4 ($0.67) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.45% over 152 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b
rendered: 2026-11-12T14:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Old Farm M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Old Farm M4

A case on Skin.club, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=all)

Price · $0.67

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 121.45% · 152 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 144 openings · below min

30 days · 152 openings · below min

since tracking started · 152 openings · below min

-0.5% 148.3% 297.0%

**Small sample.** 152 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=24h) | 8 | 4.64% ±2.77 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=7d) | 144 | 127.79% ±168.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b) | 152 | 121.45% ±159.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a25012b4b?window=all) | 152 | 121.45% ±159.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.68 $60.79 89.40x 2026-11-09 15:14 UTC

[M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.70 $60.52 86.46x 2026-11-08 23:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a25012b4b)

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.69 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-12 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pink-pearl-factory-new) Hidden $0.69 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-12 13:23 UTC

[M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $0.69 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-12 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pink-pearl-factory-new) [Kyrrie](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Kyrrie) $0.69 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-12 13:23 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-well-worn) Hidden $0.71 $0.10 0.14x 2026-11-12 12:19 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.71 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-12 12:19 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pink-pearl-factory-new) Hidden $0.71 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-12 12:19 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) [Kyrrie](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Kyrrie) $0.71 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-12 12:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-well-worn) Hidden $0.68 $0.04 0.06x 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-well-worn) Hidden $0.68 $0.04 0.06x 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $60.79 (89.40x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.45 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
