--- title: "CHANCER case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "CHANCER ($1.48) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 65.77% over 412 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f rendered: 2026-11-12T10:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [CHANCER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · CHANCER A case on Skin.club, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=all) Price · $1.48 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 65.77% · 412 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 412 openings · below min 30 days · 412 openings · below min since tracking started · 412 openings · below min 5.5% 65.8% 126.0% **Small sample.** 412 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=7d) | 412 | 65.77% ±59.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f) | 412 | 65.77% ±59.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a619d571f?window=all) | 412 | 65.77% ±59.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Morgoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Morgoth) $1.49 $114 76.22x 2026-11-08 10:17 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Morgoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Morgoth) $1.49 $114 76.22x 2026-11-08 10:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a619d571f) [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) [Morgoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Morgoth) $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) [Morgoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Morgoth) $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Monster Purple) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-monster-purple) Hidden $1.46 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $114 (76.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.77 on average: an expected loss of $34.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt