--- title: "Denied Win Skin case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Denied Win Skin ($0.56) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.42% over 160 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb rendered: 2026-11-12T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Denied Win Skin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Denied Win Skin A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=all) Price · $0.56 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.42% · 160 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 80 openings · below min 30 days · 160 openings · below min since tracking started · 160 openings · below min 48.5% 99.0% 149.5% **Small sample.** 160 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=7d) | 80 | 99.04% ±50.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb) | 160 | 96.42% ±33.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a6809cecb?window=all) | 160 | 96.42% ±33.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a6809cecb) [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:56 UTC [AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) [DEN1ED](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DEN1ED) $0.54 $2.52 4.67x 2026-11-10 14:56 UTC [Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) Hidden $0.54 $0.37 0.69x 2026-11-10 14:54 UTC [MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-well-worn) Hidden $0.54 $0.29 0.54x 2026-11-10 14:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:54 UTC [Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-minimal-wear) [DEN1ED](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DEN1ED) $0.54 $0.44 0.81x 2026-11-10 14:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GTG (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-gtg-bazooka-pink) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.42 on average: an expected loss of $3.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt