---
title: "10% CASE HARDENED case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "10% CASE HARDENED ($15.79) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 102.37% over 672 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738
rendered: 2026-11-12T12:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [10% CASE HARDENED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 10% CASE HARDENED

A case on Skin.club, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=all)

Price · $15.79

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.37% · 672 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 221 openings · below min

7 days · 672 openings · below min

30 days · 672 openings · below min

since tracking started · 672 openings · below min

13.5% 76.0% 138.5%

**Small sample.** 672 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=24h) | 221 | 66.47% ±52.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=7d) | 672 | 102.37% ±35.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738) | 672 | 102.37% ±35.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a719b6738?window=all) | 672 | 102.37% ±35.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) [Qdi](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Qdi) $15.92 $745 46.80x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC

[★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $15.79 $743 47.03x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [Sally](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Sally) $15.80 $664 42.00x 2026-11-10 16:09 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $15.80 $664 42.00x 2026-11-10 15:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [Qdii](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Qdii) $15.80 $661 41.85x 2026-11-10 16:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a719b6738)

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) [Jbeuhlélé](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jbeuhl%C3%A9l%C3%A9) $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) [Máx1m0](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/M%C3%A1x1m0) $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $15.84 $93.35 5.89x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Eco (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-wire-blue) Hidden $15.84 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $745 (46.80x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 102.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $102.37 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
