---
title: "Melfoy Butter Knife case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Melfoy Butter Knife ($29.09) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 120.52% over 265 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Melfoy Butter Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Melfoy Butter Knife

A case on Skin.club, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=all)

Price · $29.09

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 120.52% · 265 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 265 openings · below min

30 days · 265 openings · below min

since tracking started · 265 openings · below min

-0.5% 184.0% 368.5%

**Small sample.** 265 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=24h) | 12 | 129.01% ±238.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=7d) | 265 | 120.52% ±68.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d) | 265 | 120.52% ±68.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a73ac1f6d?window=all) | 265 | 120.52% ±68.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $29.14 $1,281 43.95x 2026-11-09 14:31 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $29.18 $1,060 36.34x 2026-11-08 15:46 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $29.09 $1,044 35.89x 2026-11-06 11:00 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $28.83 $1,040 36.06x 2026-11-10 09:54 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $29.00 $1,034 35.66x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-a73ac1f6d)

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) [Radiant Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Radiant%20Dragon) $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $28.40 $417 14.68x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-buttery-holo) [Radiant Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Radiant%20Dragon) $28.40 $4.51 0.16x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Miami Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-buttery-holo) Hidden $28.40 $13.13 0.46x 2026-11-12 12:07 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:40 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) [Radiant Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Radiant%20Dragon) $28.40 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,281 (43.95x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 120.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $120.52 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
