--- title: "Old farm m4 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Old farm m4 ($0.77) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.54% over 1,147 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Old farm m4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Old farm m4 A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=all) Price · $0.77 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.54% · 1,147 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 89.48% ±61.50 1,007 openings 30 days · 81.54% ±54.02 1,147 openings since tracking started · 81.54% ±54.02 1,147 openings 4.0% 77.8% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=24h) | 29 | 4.89% ±0.46 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=7d) | 1,007 | 89.48% ±61.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22) | 1,147 | 81.54% ±54.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b21ce2d22?window=all) | 1,147 | 81.54% ±54.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $127 169.0x 2026-11-09 14:08 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $127 169.0x 2026-11-09 12:54 UTC [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) Hidden $0.75 $84.26 112.3x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) Hidden $0.75 $84.26 112.3x 2026-11-09 22:42 UTC [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) Hidden $0.75 $84.26 112.3x 2026-11-09 20:09 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $59.58 79.44x 2026-11-09 20:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-b21ce2d22) [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-well-worn) Hidden $0.78 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-well-worn) Hidden $0.78 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-well-worn) [F.](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/F.) $0.78 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.78 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-well-worn) Hidden $0.78 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-well-worn) [F.](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/F.) $0.78 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.78 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-well-worn) Hidden $0.78 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [AUG | Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-well-worn) [F.](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/F.) $0.78 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:54 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-well-worn) Hidden $0.78 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $127 (169.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.54 on average: an expected loss of $18.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt