---
title: "M4A4 battle case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "M4A4 battle ($0.73) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.87% over 754 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [M4A4 battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · M4A4 battle

A case on Skin.club, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=all)

Price · $0.73

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.87% · 754 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 754 openings · below min

30 days · 754 openings · below min

since tracking started · 754 openings · below min

59.0% 91.0% 123.0%

**Small sample.** 754 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=7d) | 754 | 90.87% ±31.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b) | 754 | 90.87% ±31.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b902b440b?window=all) | 754 | 90.87% ±31.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.74 $84.72 114.5x 2026-11-08 12:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-b902b440b)

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.74 $0.82 1.11x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) [a37027547asdf](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/a37027547asdf) $0.74 $0.82 1.11x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-battle-scarred) [a37027547asdf](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/a37027547asdf) $0.74 $0.33 0.45x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $0.74 $1.39 1.88x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-battle-scarred) [a37027547asdf](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/a37027547asdf) $0.74 $0.33 0.45x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $84.72 (114.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
