---
title: "Farm Butterfly 82% 💘 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Farm Butterfly 82% 💘 ($2.36) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.96% over 45.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm Butterfly 82% 💘](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm Butterfly 82% 💘

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=all)

Price · $2.36

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.96% · 45.8K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.08% ±1.25 5,340 openings

7 days · 94.48% ±6.34 37.8K openings

30 days · 93.96% ±5.33 45.8K openings

since tracking started · 93.96% ±5.33 45.8K openings

86.0% 93.8% 101.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=24h) | 5,340 | 88.08% ±1.25 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=7d) | 37.8K | 94.48% ±6.34 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5) | 45.8K | 93.96% ±5.33 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b9a5539b5?window=all) | 45.8K | 93.96% ±5.33 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $2.36 $2,438 1,033x 2026-11-07 13:18 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.35 $1,041 443.2x 2026-11-09 05:37 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $2.39 $691 289.0x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $2.35 $618 263.1x 2026-11-10 05:11 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $2.32 $572 246.4x 2026-11-04 14:14 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.37 $553 233.1x 2026-11-09 06:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-b9a5539b5)

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 08:00 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) [H4DES](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/H4DES) $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 08:00 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 08:00 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 08:00 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) [ilp](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ilp) $2.44 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $2.44 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

[Sticker | magixx (Gold, Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magixx-gold-champion-shanghai-2024) [ilp](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ilp) $2.44 $2.58 1.06x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,438 (1,033x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.96 on average: an expected loss of $6.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
