---
title: "15% LUCK case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "15% LUCK ($30.11) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 60.39% over 104 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [15% LUCK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 15% LUCK

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=all)

Price · $30.11

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 60.39% · 104 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 16 openings · below min

30 days · 104 openings · below min

since tracking started · 104 openings · below min

-0.5% 61.5% 123.5%

**Small sample.** 104 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=7d) | 16 | 41.53% ±81.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0) | 104 | 60.39% ±39.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-be8a02ed0?window=all) | 104 | 60.39% ±39.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-be8a02ed0)

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:35 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:35 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:35 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) [E R R O R Code 404](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/E%20R%20R%20O%20R%20Code%20404) $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:35 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:34 UTC

[Sticker | Titan (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $32.30 $215 6.64x 2026-11-05 23:34 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:34 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) [E R R O R Code 404](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/E%20R%20R%20O%20R%20Code%20404) $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:34 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:19 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) Hidden $32.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 23:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 60.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $60.39 on average: an expected loss of $39.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
