---
title: "DONT TRUST😗(◕‿◕)🔥 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "DONT TRUST😗(◕‿◕)🔥 ($0.50) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.21% over 48.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [DONT TRUST😗(◕‿◕)🔥](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · DONT TRUST😗(◕‿◕)🔥

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=all)

Price · $0.50

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.21% · 48.3K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.93% ±1.46 3,077 openings

7 days · 86.87% ±7.10 35.7K openings

30 days · 85.21% ±5.25 48.3K openings

since tracking started · 85.21% ±5.25 48.3K openings

78.0% 86.3% 94.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=24h) | 3,077 | 79.93% ±1.46 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=7d) | 35.7K | 86.87% ±7.10 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e) | 48.3K | 85.21% ±5.25 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-bf4940a7e?window=all) | 48.3K | 85.21% ±5.25 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [☆☭AlexZ☭☆](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%98%86%E2%98%ADAlexZ%E2%98%AD%E2%98%86) $0.50 $433 866.5x 2026-11-09 17:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) Hidden $0.50 $343 686.9x 2026-11-06 22:46 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) Hidden $0.50 $338 676.0x 2026-11-07 13:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-bf4940a7e)

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [Black Fox](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Black%20Fox) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:57 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [bearcanfly](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/bearcanfly) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:57 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [BİG BABACAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/B%C4%B0G%20BABACAN) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:47 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [bearcanfly](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/bearcanfly) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:47 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) Hidden $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) Hidden $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) Hidden $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-paris-2023) [CamFreerunSE](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CamFreerunSE) $0.50 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [BUITRACO](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BUITRACO) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:18 UTC

[Sticker | ZywOo (Holo, Champion) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-champion-budapest-2025) [bearcanfly](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/bearcanfly) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $433 (866.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.21 on average: an expected loss of $14.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
