---
title: "m Butterfly case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "m Butterfly ($2.45) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.16% over 1,370 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [m Butterfly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · m Butterfly

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=all)

Price · $2.45

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.16% · 1,370 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 349 openings · below min

30 days · 81.16% ±63.20 1,370 openings

since tracking started · 81.16% ±63.20 1,370 openings

-0.5% 75.8% 152.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=24h) | 12 | 3.35% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=7d) | 349 | 53.19% ±98.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33) | 1,370 | 81.16% ±63.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c056d6b33?window=all) | 1,370 | 81.16% ±63.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.46 $448 182.0x 2026-11-03 22:01 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.46 $448 182.0x 2026-11-03 21:55 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.46 $446 181.3x 2026-11-03 21:35 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.45 $445 181.5x 2026-11-04 19:16 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.45 $445 181.5x 2026-11-04 18:07 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $2.42 $431 178.2x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-c056d6b33)

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:55 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:55 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:55 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) [++MAX++](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%2B%2BMAX%2B%2B) $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:55 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) [++MAX++](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%2B%2BMAX%2B%2B) $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Sticker | Sting Like A Butterfly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sting-like-a-butterfly) Hidden $2.39 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $448 (182.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.16 on average: an expected loss of $18.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
