--- title: "toxic winner! case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "toxic winner! ($79.63) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 130.96% over 49 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda rendered: 2026-11-13T03:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [toxic winner!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · toxic winner! A case on Skin.club, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=all) Price · $79.63 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 130.96% · 49 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 49 openings · below min 30 days · 49 openings · below min since tracking started · 49 openings · below min -0.5% 139.5% 279.5% **Small sample.** 49 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=7d) | 49 | 130.96% ±147.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda) | 49 | 130.96% ±147.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c0f33afda?window=all) | 49 | 130.96% ±147.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $79.63 $2,302 28.91x 2026-11-08 21:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $79.63 $1,891 23.75x 2026-11-08 21:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-c0f33afda) [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) Hidden $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:36 UTC [AWP | Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) [Gh0sT\_z](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Gh0sT_z) $79.63 $6.54 0.08x 2026-11-08 21:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · Ancient · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-field-tested-phase-1) Hidden $79.63 $70.85 0.89x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) [Gh0sT\_z](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Gh0sT_z) $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) Hidden $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) Hidden $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) Hidden $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-battle-green) [Gh0sT\_z](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Gh0sT_z) $79.63 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) Hidden $79.63 $3.69 0.05x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [AWP | Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) Hidden $79.63 $6.54 0.08x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,302 (28.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 131.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $130.96 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt