--- title: "5% BAYONET case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% BAYONET ($15.67) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.20% over 523 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13 rendered: 2026-11-12T06:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [5% BAYONET](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 5% BAYONET A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=all) Price · $15.67 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 111.20% · 523 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 523 openings · below min 30 days · 523 openings · below min since tracking started · 523 openings · below min 70.0% 111.2% 152.5% **Small sample.** 523 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=7d) | 523 | 111.20% ±40.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13) | 523 | 111.20% ±40.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-c1509be13?window=all) | 523 | 111.20% ±40.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-c1509be13) [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) [Ezzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ezzy) $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $15.62 $476 30.49x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) [Ezzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ezzy) $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:14 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $15.62 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-06 00:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.20 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt