---
title: "Goat sticker 15% case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Goat sticker 15% ($3.20) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 114.32% over 278 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Goat sticker 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Goat sticker 15%

A case on Skin.club, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=all)

Price · $3.20

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 114.32% · 278 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 36 openings · below min

7 days · 236 openings · below min

30 days · 278 openings · below min

since tracking started · 278 openings · below min

8.0% 99.0% 190.0%

**Small sample.** 278 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=24h) | 36 | 63.09% ±54.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=7d) | 236 | 84.99% ±29.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e) | 278 | 114.32% ±74.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d0123728e?window=all) | 278 | 114.32% ±74.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $3.20 $318 99.39x 2026-11-04 07:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-d0123728e)

[Sticker | s1mple | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-rio-2022) Hidden $3.10 $0.47 0.15x 2026-11-12 08:24 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Katowice 2019 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-katowice-2019) Hidden $3.10 $5.14 1.66x 2026-11-12 08:24 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-stockholm-2021) Hidden $3.10 $0.15 0.05x 2026-11-12 08:24 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-rio-2022) [ThatBartleyGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ThatBartleyGuy) $3.10 $0.47 0.15x 2026-11-12 08:24 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-paris-2023) Hidden $3.09 $0.17 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-stockholm-2021) Hidden $3.09 $0.14 0.05x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Katowice 2019 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-katowice-2019) [ThatBartleyGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ThatBartleyGuy) $3.09 $5.13 1.66x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

[Sticker | donk (Champion) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-donk-champion-shanghai-2024) Hidden $3.09 $0.06 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

[Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $3.09 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-rio-2022) [ThatBartleyGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ThatBartleyGuy) $3.09 $0.47 0.15x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $318 (99.39x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 114.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $114.32 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
