--- title: "Rico - 12,5% m4a1-s case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rico - 12,5% m4a1-s ($86.90) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 105.84% over 1,278 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996 rendered: 2026-11-13T04:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Rico - 12,5% m4a1-s](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Rico - 12,5% m4a1-s A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=all) Price · $86.90 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 105.84% · 1,278 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 631 openings · below min 30 days · 105.84% ±16.28 1,278 openings since tracking started · 105.84% ±16.28 1,278 openings 83.0% 106.0% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=7d) | 631 | 105.92% ±22.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996) | 1,278 | 105.84% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d8069c996?window=all) | 1,278 | 105.84% ±16.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [Miro](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Miro) $87.28 $2,392 27.41x 2026-11-04 15:54 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $83.90 $2,316 27.61x 2026-11-07 13:39 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $83.89 $2,316 27.61x 2026-11-07 12:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.72 $1,813 20.90x 2026-11-04 17:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.72 $1,813 20.90x 2026-11-04 17:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.70 $1,802 21.02x 2026-11-05 17:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.70 $1,802 21.02x 2026-11-05 17:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Miro](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Miro) $83.90 $1,750 20.85x 2026-11-07 13:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Miro](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Miro) $85.70 $1,457 17.00x 2026-11-05 17:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $85.70 $1,457 17.00x 2026-11-05 17:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-d8069c996) [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:53 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $83.96 $423 5.04x 2026-11-09 06:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) [Ricko](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ricko) $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) [Ricko](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ricko) $83.96 $9.00 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.95 $8.86 0.11x 2026-11-08 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) Hidden $83.95 $8.86 0.11x 2026-11-08 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,392 (27.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 105.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $105.84 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt