--- title: "HARDENCASE PUPPET case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HARDENCASE PUPPET ($2.88) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 8.64% over 156 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba rendered: 2026-11-12T05:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [HARDENCASE PUPPET](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · HARDENCASE PUPPET A case on Skin.club, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=all) Price · $2.88 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 8.64% · 156 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 144 openings · below min 30 days · 156 openings · below min since tracking started · 156 openings · below min 7.5% 8.8% 10.0% **Small sample.** 156 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=24h) | 8 | 9.22% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=7d) | 144 | 8.55% ±0.17 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba) | 156 | 8.64% ±0.16 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-d9f5f5bba?window=all) | 156 | 8.64% ±0.16 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-d9f5f5bba) [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) [PUPPET MASTER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/PUPPET%20MASTER) $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) [PUPPET MASTER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/PUPPET%20MASTER) $2.82 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.88 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian Elite sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-elite) Hidden $2.88 $0.26 0.09x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 8.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $8.64 on average: an expected loss of $91.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt