--- title: "FADE OR FAIL +DREW case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "FADE OR FAIL +DREW ($0.54) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 30.58% over 16 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3 rendered: 2026-11-13T02:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [FADE OR FAIL +DREW](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · FADE OR FAIL +DREW A case on Skin.club, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=all) Price · $0.54 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 30.58% · 16 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 34.5% 69.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=7d) | 16 | 30.58% ±38.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3) | 16 | 30.58% ±38.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-da1424fa3?window=all) | 16 | 30.58% ±38.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-da1424fa3) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) Hidden $0.53 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) Hidden $0.53 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) Hidden $0.53 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) [SoleWeak](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SoleWeak) $0.53 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:35 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-sun-minimal-wear) [chaogoodboy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/chaogoodboy) $0.54 $1.55 2.87x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) [putkirunkkari](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/putkirunkkari) $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) [Captain-Curry](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Captain-Curry) $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) Hidden $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Violent Violet) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-violent-violet) [chaogoodboy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/chaogoodboy) $0.54 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 30.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $30.58 on average: an expected loss of $69.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt