---
title: "T3a| 10% M4A1 & AK case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "T3a| 10% M4A1 & AK ($29.12) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.23% over 76 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [T3a| 10% M4A1 & AK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · T3a| 10% M4A1 & AK

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=all)

Price · $29.12

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.23% · 76 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 60 openings · below min

30 days · 76 openings · below min

since tracking started · 76 openings · below min

-0.5% 107.3% 215.0%

**Small sample.** 76 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=7d) | 60 | 106.89% ±107.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7) | 76 | 87.23% ±85.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e1734b2e7?window=all) | 76 | 87.23% ±85.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-factory-new) Hidden $28.41 $627 22.09x 2026-11-07 04:15 UTC

[AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-factory-new) Hidden $28.45 $627 22.05x 2026-11-07 07:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-e1734b2e7)

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $31.69 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 06:14 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $31.69 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 06:14 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $31.69 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 06:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [MonkeyBone989](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MonkeyBone989) $31.69 $70.44 2.22x 2026-11-09 06:14 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) [808BigBotogang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/808BigBotogang) $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) [808BigBotogang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/808BigBotogang) $28.45 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $627 (22.09x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.23 on average: an expected loss of $12.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
