--- title: "M416 l case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "M416 l ($0.73) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.57% over 3,573 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [M416 l](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · M416 l A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=all) Price · $0.73 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.57% · 3,573 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 375 openings · below min 7 days · 78.36% ±14.13 2,960 openings 30 days · 80.57% ±13.76 3,573 openings since tracking started · 80.57% ±13.76 3,573 openings 38.5% 74.0% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=24h) | 375 | 74.07% ±35.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=7d) | 2,960 | 78.36% ±14.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29) | 3,573 | 80.57% ±13.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-e7f2d5b29?window=all) | 3,573 | 80.57% ±13.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Mau5s](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mau5s) $0.72 $46.48 64.56x 2026-11-03 22:55 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.72 $46.48 64.56x 2026-11-03 22:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Mau5s](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mau5s) $0.73 $46.42 63.59x 2026-11-02 23:08 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.73 $46.41 63.58x 2026-11-02 22:15 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.66 $45.04 68.24x 2026-11-09 04:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.66 $45.04 68.24x 2026-11-09 02:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Mau5s](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mau5s) $0.66 $45.03 68.23x 2026-11-09 01:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.66 $45.01 68.20x 2026-11-09 04:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.66 $45.01 68.20x 2026-11-09 04:04 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.66 $45.01 68.20x 2026-11-09 04:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-e7f2d5b29) [Sticker | Vertigo's Hero (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vertigos-hero-holo) Hidden $0.65 $0.49 0.75x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $0.65 $0.36 0.55x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $0.65 $0.34 0.52x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) [Mau5s](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mau5s) $0.65 $0.36 0.55x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $0.65 $0.34 0.52x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.65 $0.39 0.60x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $0.65 $0.42 0.65x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) [Mau5s](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mau5s) $0.65 $0.36 0.55x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $0.65 $0.34 0.52x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC [Souvenir MP5-SD | Lab Rats (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-lab-rats-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.65 $0.29 0.45x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $46.48 (64.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.57 on average: an expected loss of $19.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt