--- title: "NGOOS HCM 0.8% BIG WIN case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NGOOS HCM 0.8% BIG WIN ($0.97) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.80% over 1,024 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a rendered: 2026-11-12T10:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [NGOOS HCM 0.8% BIG WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · NGOOS HCM 0.8% BIG WIN A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=all) Price · $0.97 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.80% · 1,024 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 440 openings · below min 7 days · 78.80% ±57.83 1,024 openings 30 days · 78.80% ±57.83 1,024 openings since tracking started · 78.80% ±57.83 1,024 openings 9.5% 91.8% 174.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=24h) | 440 | 91.84% ±81.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=7d) | 1,024 | 78.80% ±57.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a) | 1,024 | 78.80% ±57.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ebf05ff5a?window=all) | 1,024 | 78.80% ±57.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.98 $189 192.5x 2026-11-05 21:08 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) [zSximqn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zSximqn) $0.98 $107 108.7x 2026-11-11 21:22 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) Hidden $0.97 $106 108.8x 2026-11-10 21:22 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $0.98 $95.06 97.00x 2026-11-11 21:22 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $0.97 $93.98 96.89x 2026-11-10 23:59 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.98 $63.38 64.67x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.98 $63.26 64.55x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.98 $63.26 64.55x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-ebf05ff5a) [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) [zSximqn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zSximqn) $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) [zSximqn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zSximqn) $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles | Paris 2023 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-paris-2023) Hidden $0.98 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $189 (192.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.80 on average: an expected loss of $21.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt