--- title: "5% Talon case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Talon ($29.23) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.76% over 64 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [5% Talon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 5% Talon A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=all) Price · $29.23 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.76% · 64 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 64 openings · below min since tracking started · 64 openings · below min -0.5% 95.5% 191.5% **Small sample.** 64 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=7d) | 32 | 83.56% ±107.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457) | 64 | 88.76% ±85.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-ed91d2457?window=all) | 64 | 88.76% ±85.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.23 $648 22.18x 2026-11-03 02:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-ed91d2457) [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) Hidden $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) [v1C | Snipernaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20Snipernaldo) $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.34 $403 13.72x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) [DRMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DRMA) $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) Hidden $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) [v1C | Snipernaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20Snipernaldo) $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) Hidden $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) [DRMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DRMA) $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-tiger-orange) Hidden $29.34 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC [Sticker | Zeus (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeus-foil-atlanta-2017) [v1C | Snipernaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20Snipernaldo) $29.34 $48.19 1.64x 2026-11-10 09:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $648 (22.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.76 on average: an expected loss of $11.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt