--- title: "My dream 15% case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "My dream 15% ($1.33) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 105.40% over 524 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb rendered: 2026-11-12T14:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [My dream 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · My dream 15% A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=all) Price · $1.33 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 105.40% · 524 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 333 openings · below min 30 days · 524 openings · below min since tracking started · 524 openings · below min 8.5% 78.5% 148.5% **Small sample.** 524 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=24h) | 32 | 41.73% ±32.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=7d) | 333 | 97.72% ±50.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb) | 524 | 105.40% ±40.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-f496945bb?window=all) | 524 | 105.40% ±40.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.33 $70.75 53.20x 2026-11-05 20:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-f496945bb) [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) [Aladinas](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Aladinas) $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) [Aladinas](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Aladinas) $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) Hidden $1.33 $0.02 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Sticker | Spinx | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-spinx-budapest-2025) [TexiLexi](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/TexiLexi) $1.33 $0.03 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) [SuS Shocky ☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SuS%20Shocky%20%E2%98%A0) $1.33 $2.55 1.92x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $70.75 (53.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 105.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $105.40 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt