---
title: "farm m4a4 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "farm m4a4 ($2.85) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.22% over 422 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243
rendered: 2026-11-13T04:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [farm m4a4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · farm m4a4

A case on Skin.club, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=all)

Price · $2.85

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.22% · 422 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 160 openings · below min

7 days · 422 openings · below min

30 days · 422 openings · below min

since tracking started · 422 openings · below min

-0.5% 114.3% 229.0%

**Small sample.** 422 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=24h) | 160 | 59.71% ±115.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=7d) | 422 | 111.22% ±117.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243) | 422 | 111.22% ±117.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-fc69a3243?window=all) | 422 | 111.22% ±117.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $2.84 $526 185.1x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-factory-new) Hidden $2.83 $381 134.5x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) Hidden $2.83 $266 94.01x 2026-11-12 21:06 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $2.85 $150 52.54x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-fc69a3243)

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.84 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.84 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.84 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) [Carlooscubeero](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Carlooscubeero) $2.84 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) [Carlooscubeero](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Carlooscubeero) $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC

[M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-field-tested) Hidden $2.83 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $526 (185.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.22 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
