---
title: "Covert case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Covert ($6.22) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.52% from 83 items with odds, observed 93.34% over 186K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Covert

A case on Skin.club (By quality), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=all)

Price · $6.22

Advertised RTP · 92.52% · EV $5.75 from 83 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.34% · 186K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.75% ±3.85 18K openings

7 days · 92.71% ±1.34 148K openings

30 days · 93.34% ±1.19 186K openings

since tracking started · 93.34% ±1.19 186K openings

87.0% 91.5% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=24h) | 18K | 91.75% ±3.85 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=7d) | 148K | 92.71% ±1.34 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert) | 186K | 93.34% ±1.19 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert?window=all) | 186K | 93.34% ±1.19 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 83 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 187K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $466 | 0.4% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $364 | 0.3% | 10 | 9.3 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $305 | 0.3% | 12 | 9.3 | 1.29× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $303 | 0.3% | 4 | 9.3 | 0.43× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $264 | 0.2% | 6 | 9.3 | 0.64× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $231 | 0.2% | 10 | 9.3 | 1.07× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $208 | 0.2% | 14 | 9.3 | 1.50× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $206 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $201 | 0.2% | 6 | 9.3 | 0.64× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $182 | 0.2% | 14 | 9.3 | 1.50× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $181 | 0.2% | 7 | 9.3 | 0.75× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $173 | 0.2% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $173 | 0.3% | 12 | 18.7 | 0.64× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $171 | 0.3% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $169 | 0.3% | 28 | 18.7 | 1.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $157 | 0.3% | 12 | 18.7 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $124 | 0.2% | 29 | 18.7 | 1.55× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $124 | 0.4% | 27 | 37.3 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $122 | 0.4% | 22 | 37.3 | 0.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $121 | 0.4% | 35 | 37.3 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $120 | 0.4% | 54 | 37.3 | 1.45× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $117 | 0.4% | 37 | 37.3 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $116 | 0.4% | 28 | 37.3 | 0.75× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $114 | 0.4% | 38 | 37.3 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $114 | 0.4% | 51 | 37.3 | 1.37× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $114 | 0.4% | 45 | 37.3 | 1.20× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $111 | 0.4% | 42 | 37.3 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $111 | 0.4% | 34 | 37.3 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $110 | 0.4% | 44 | 37.3 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $107 | 0.4% | 38 | 37.3 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $105 | 0.4% | 39 | 37.3 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $101 | 0.4% | 50 | 37.3 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $93.53 | 0.3% | 36 | 37.3 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $91.87 | 0.3% | 24 | 37.3 | 0.64× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $90.69 | 0.3% | 48 | 37.3 | 1.29× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $87.36 | 0.3% | 37 | 37.3 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.79 | 0.3% | 45 | 37.3 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.27 | 0.3% | 35 | 37.3 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.21 | 0.3% | 42 | 37.3 | 1.12× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.02 | 0.3% | 33 | 37.3 | 0.88× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $83.35 | 0.3% | 56 | 37.3 | 1.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $82.98 | 0.3% | 35 | 37.3 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $82.26 | 0.3% | 49 | 37.3 | 1.31× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $81.15 | 0.3% | 45 | 37.3 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $73.24 | 0.3% | 26 | 37.3 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $71.44 | 0.2% | 54 | 37.3 | 1.45× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $71.06 | 0.2% | 40 | 37.3 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $69.99 | 0.2% | 60 | 37.3 | 1.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $65.77 | 0.3% | 58 | 56.0 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $63.57 | 0.3% | 44 | 56.0 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $63.32 | 0.3% | 44 | 56.0 | 0.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $62.78 | 0.3% | 40 | 56.0 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $62.59 | 0.3% | 54 | 56.0 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $60.38 | 0.5% | 142 | 93.4 | 1.52× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $59.07 | 0.5% | 107 | 93.4 | 1.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $56.12 | 0.5% | 107 | 93.4 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $56.08 | 0.5% | 103 | 93.4 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $56.05 | 0.5% | 531 | 93.4 | 5.69× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $54.22 | 0.7% | 116 | 130.7 | 0.89× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $53.48 | 0.9% | 457 | 186.7 | 2.45× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $52.56 | 0.9% | 295 | 186.7 | 1.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.56 | 0.9% | 565 | 186.7 | 3.03× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $50.58 | 0.9% | 601 | 186.7 | 3.22× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $49.80 | 3.5% | 151 | 746.9 | 0.20× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $48.91 | 3.4% | 463 | 746.9 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $46.96 | 3.3% | 402 | 746.9 | 0.54× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $45.47 | 3.2% | 816 | 746.9 | 1.09× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $44.58 | 3.1% | 843 | 746.9 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $44.06 | 3.1% | 853 | 746.9 | 1.14× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $38.29 | 3.3% | 954 | 933.6 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $36.49 | 3.2% | 1,644 | 933.6 | 1.76× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $36.39 | 3.2% | 412 | 933.6 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $35.69 | 3.1% | 1,649 | 933.6 | 1.77× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $34.24 | 3.0% | 1,568 | 933.6 | 1.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $34.00 | 5.9% | 1,884 | 1867.2 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $33.55 | 5.8% | 1,433 | 1867.2 | 0.77× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $33.21 | 5.8% | 1,669 | 1867.2 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $32.21 | 5.6% | 1,875 | 1867.2 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $31.24 | 5.4% | 1,881 | 1867.2 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $29.51 | 5.1% | 1,061 | 1867.2 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $24.03 | 4.2% | 1,228 | 1867.2 | 0.66× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $12.90 | 3.4% | 2,765 | 2800.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) | 85.0% | $0.04 | 0.6% | 158,447 | 158713.7 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/covert`, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [lob](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/lob) $6.62 $476 71.96x 2026-11-04 04:43 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.63 $476 71.85x 2026-11-03 17:25 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [KaKaS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/KaKaS) $6.60 $476 72.17x 2026-11-04 16:50 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.57 $475 72.34x 2026-11-06 13:28 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.61 $474 71.67x 2026-11-08 12:13 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [SUPERMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SUPERMAN) $6.57 $470 71.56x 2026-11-07 09:25 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [RoWie](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RoWie) $6.63 $470 70.90x 2026-11-07 19:14 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.27 $470 74.92x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.54 $469 71.66x 2026-11-06 17:11 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $6.21 $460 74.06x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=covert)

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) Hidden $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) [zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zoz) $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.23 $33.26 5.34x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) [zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zoz) $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) Hidden $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) [zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zoz) $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) Hidden $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zoz) $6.23 $33.69 5.41x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) Hidden $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change-battle-green) [zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zoz) $6.23 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $6.22 | 92.52% | 83 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $6.22 | 92.55% | 83 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $6.28 | 92.45% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $6.26 | 92.47% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $6.27 | 92.43% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $6.29 | 92.53% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $6.31 | 92.50% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $6.27 | 92.52% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $6.28 | 92.46% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $6.57 | 92.45% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $6.60 | 92.44% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $6.60 | 92.44% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $6.60 | 92.43% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $6.59 | 92.54% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $6.61 | 92.45% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $6.61 | 92.46% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $6.64 | 92.45% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $6.61 | 92.43% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $6.60 | 92.52% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $6.57 | 92.46% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $6.58 | 92.49% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $6.54 | 92.50% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $6.58 | 92.56% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.61 | 92.53% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $6.60 | 92.55% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $6.59 | 92.53% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $6.60 | 92.46% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $6.61 | 92.54% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $6.61 | 92.46% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $6.60 | 92.50% | 83 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.7% epic 0.0% Ancient 7.7% rare 0.1% red 0.3% Covert 0.4% uncommon 0.4% classified 1.5% Common 85.0% best hit $476 (71.96x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.52 on average: an expected loss of $7.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt