---
title: "CS 1.6 Memories case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CS 1.6 Memories ($2.37) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.59% from 21 items with odds, observed 93.54% over 52.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [CS 1.6 Memories](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · CS 1.6 Memories

A case on Skin.club (Karrigan's Choice), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=all)

Price · $2.37

Advertised RTP · 92.59% · EV $2.19 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.54% · 52.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 20.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 56 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.48% ±13.80 4,096 openings

7 days · 94.09% ±3.35 38.5K openings

30 days · 93.54% ±2.61 52.4K openings

since tracking started · 93.54% ±2.61 52.4K openings

76.0% 90.5% 105.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=24h) | 4,096 | 90.48% ±13.8 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=7d) | 38.5K | 94.09% ±3.35 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories) | 52.4K | 93.54% ±2.61 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cs-1-6-memories?window=all) | 52.4K | 93.54% ±2.61 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 52.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $329 | 4.5% | 10 | 15.7 | 0.63× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $152 | 3.5% | 6 | 26.3 | 0.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $113 | 4.1% | 19 | 42.0 | 0.45× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $111 | 5.1% | 22 | 52.5 | 0.42× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $110 | 6.0% | 23 | 63.0 | 0.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 435 | $54.74 | 5.7% | 70 | 120.8 | 0.58× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $51.06 | 7.0% | 89 | 157.5 | 0.57× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $47.05 | 8.6% | 127 | 210.0 | 0.60× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $45.67 | 10.2% | 141 | 257.3 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $16.53 | 6.6% | 811 | 462.0 | 1.76× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $4.50 | 3.3% | 3,338 | 840.0 | 3.97× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $3.02 | 3.2% | 3,492 | 1218.0 | 2.87× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $2.64 | 3.5% | 3,621 | 1548.8 | 2.34× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.28 | 3.9% | 3,765 | 1995.0 | 1.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.79 | 4.1% | 3,938 | 2651.3 | 1.49× |
| [XM1014 \| Charter (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-charter-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1.15 | 3.7% | 4,451 | 3701.2 | 1.20× |
| [XM1014 \| Charter (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-charter-minimal-wear) | 11.5% | $0.98 | 5.1% | 5,116 | 6037.5 | 0.85× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.96 | 3.9% | 4,753 | 4620.0 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Charter (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-charter-field-tested) | 10.2% | $0.95 | 4.4% | 4,719 | 5355.0 | 0.88× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) | 16.4% | $0.42 | 3.1% | 6,075 | 8583.8 | 0.71× |
| [Sticker \| Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) | 27.7% | $0.03 | 0.4% | 7,914 | 14542.5 | 0.54× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/cs-1-6-memories`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $348 147.6x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $348 147.6x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) [Herzog](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Herzog) $2.36 $348 147.3x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) [BudLightyear](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BudLightyear) $2.35 $346 147.3x 2026-11-10 05:31 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) [Usagi in the RabbitHole](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Usagi%20in%20the%20RabbitHole) $2.37 $345 145.4x 2026-11-09 10:46 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.37 $345 145.4x 2026-11-09 10:46 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.37 $345 145.4x 2026-11-07 19:23 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) [Dark Knight](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dark%20Knight) $2.37 $345 145.4x 2026-11-07 07:28 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) [Tupananchiskama](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Tupananchiskama) $2.37 $345 145.4x 2026-11-06 03:09 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.37 $344 145.0x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cs-1-6-memories)

[XM1014 | Charter (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-charter-field-tested) [ItzBurst](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ItzBurst) $2.37 $0.95 0.40x 2026-11-13 03:59 UTC

[Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) [NATUS VANTUS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/NATUS%20VANTUS) $2.37 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:59 UTC

[Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) [A Very Sleepy Deer](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/A%20Very%20Sleepy%20Deer) $2.37 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:59 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) [🄷🅁-🄳🄾🄼🄿🄰](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%F0%9F%84%B7%F0%9F%85%81-%F0%9F%84%B3%F0%9F%84%BE%F0%9F%84%BC%F0%9F%84%BF%F0%9F%84%B0) $2.37 $0.42 0.18x 2026-11-13 03:59 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [MadoxCZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MadoxCZ) $2.37 $113 47.86x 2026-11-13 03:52 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) Hidden $2.37 $0.42 0.18x 2026-11-13 03:51 UTC

[XM1014 | Charter (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-charter-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.37 $0.98 0.41x 2026-11-13 03:51 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $2.37 $2.28 0.96x 2026-11-13 03:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) [♥KEnZ0♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%99%A5KEnZ0%E2%99%A5) $2.37 $0.42 0.18x 2026-11-13 03:51 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $2.37 $4.50 1.90x 2026-11-13 03:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $2.37 | 92.59% | 21 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $2.37 | 92.69% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $2.37 | 92.57% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $2.37 | 92.41% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $2.37 | 92.44% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $2.37 | 92.56% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.36 | 92.41% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.36 | 92.40% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.36 | 92.42% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.36 | 92.48% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.35 | 92.44% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.37 | 92.67% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.37 | 92.69% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $2.37 | 92.67% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $2.37 | 92.41% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $2.37 | 92.33% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.36 | 92.67% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.38 | 92.36% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | $2.37 | 92.66% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.37 | 92.69% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 04:45 UTC | $2.38 | 92.44% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.38 | 92.38% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $2.37 | 92.69% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.37 | 92.66% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $2.37 | 92.62% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 07:57 UTC | $2.38 | 92.48% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $2.38 | 92.56% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:53 UTC | $2.38 | 92.52% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 03:49 UTC | $2.38 | 92.51% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 01:40 UTC | $2.39 | 92.32% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.0% covert 1.7% Ancient 0.1% classified 2.5% restricted 11.2% #8847ff 2.9% Common 28.7% Mythical 8.8% violet 16.4% Rare 27.7% best hit $348 (147.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.59 on average: an expected loss of $7.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt