---
title: "Dangerous Chicken case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dangerous Chicken ($12.37) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.95% over 14.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Dangerous Chicken](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Dangerous Chicken

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=all)

Price · $12.37

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 14.3K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 106.56% ±23.49 1,583 openings

7 days · 86.89% ±7.80 10.3K openings

30 days · 88.95% ±6.86 14.3K openings

since tracking started · 88.95% ±6.86 14.3K openings

78.5% 104.5% 130.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=24h) | 1,583 | 106.56% ±23.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=7d) | 10.3K | 86.89% ±7.80 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken) | 14.3K | 88.95% ±6.86 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dangerous-chiken?window=all) | 14.3K | 88.95% ±6.86 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [crazyweap0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/crazyweap0n) $12.57 $1,348 107.3x 2026-11-05 03:07 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.33 $1,344 109.0x 2026-11-04 15:03 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.21 $1,341 109.8x 2026-11-04 01:01 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.32 $1,339 108.7x 2026-11-03 03:20 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.93 $1,317 101.8x 2026-11-07 04:42 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.84 $1,297 101.0x 2026-11-06 23:55 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [Bubz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Bubz) $12.77 $1,244 97.41x 2026-11-06 17:32 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.50 $1,123 89.85x 2026-11-05 23:31 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.76 $1,105 86.62x 2026-11-08 14:19 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.88 $1,085 84.22x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=dangerous-chiken)

[USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.90 $47.57 3.69x 2026-11-12 15:32 UTC

[Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) [💜 LOVE SKINS 💜](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%F0%9F%92%9C%20LOVE%20SKINS%20%F0%9F%92%9C) $12.90 $1.02 0.08x 2026-11-12 15:32 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) Hidden $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:32 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) Hidden $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:32 UTC

[M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) Hidden $12.90 $208 16.14x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) Hidden $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

[USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) [Feral Rebel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Feral%20Rebel) $12.90 $47.57 3.69x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) Hidden $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) Hidden $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) [Feral Rebel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Feral%20Rebel) $12.90 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-12 15:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,348 (107.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
