---
title: "Dreams And Nightmares case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dreams And Nightmares ($1.38) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.20% from 15 items with odds, observed 93.06% over 40.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Dreams And Nightmares](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Dreams And Nightmares

A case on Skin.club (Classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=all)

Price · $1.38

Advertised RTP · 92.20% · EV $1.27 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.06% · 40.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 26.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.33% ±16.01 3,972 openings

7 days · 92.49% ±6.01 29.7K openings

30 days · 93.06% ±5.20 40.9K openings

since tracking started · 93.06% ±5.20 40.9K openings

73.5% 90.3% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=24h) | 3,972 | 90.33% ±16.0 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=7d) | 29.7K | 92.49% ±6.01 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares) | 40.9K | 93.06% ±5.20 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/dreams-and-nightmares?window=all) | 40.9K | 93.06% ±5.20 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 41K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $103 | 5.7% | 122 | 28.7 | 4.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $96.80 | 7.6% | 39 | 41.0 | 0.95× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $92.37 | 29.0% | 82 | 164.1 | 0.50× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $13.20 | 4.5% | 161 | 176.4 | 0.91× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2.97 | 9.3% | 1,642 | 1640.7 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.94 | 7.6% | 2,114 | 2050.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.63 | 6.4% | 2,018 | 2050.9 | 0.98× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.72 | 4.0% | 4,244 | 2871.3 | 1.48× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.56 | 3.1% | 3,296 | 2871.3 | 1.15× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.56 | 3.5% | 2,817 | 3281.4 | 0.86× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.52 | 4.1% | 4,136 | 4101.8 | 1.01× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.51 | 4.8% | 4,497 | 4922.2 | 0.91× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) | 13.0% | $0.51 | 5.2% | 4,345 | 5332.3 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) | 14.0% | $0.24 | 2.6% | 5,703 | 5742.5 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) | 14.0% | $0.23 | 2.5% | 5,802 | 5742.5 | 1.01× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/dreams_and_nightmares`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [EXHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/EXHER) $1.49 $113 75.57x 2026-11-03 07:44 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.49 $113 75.57x 2026-11-03 07:06 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.49 $112 75.32x 2026-11-03 16:28 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.49 $112 75.18x 2026-11-03 05:20 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [hUstleee](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/hUstleee) $1.49 $112 75.12x 2026-11-03 04:16 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [✪HibichiN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%9C%AAHibichiN) $1.47 $112 76.03x 2026-11-04 00:37 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [oscar](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/oscar) $1.48 $112 75.51x 2026-11-03 17:46 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.48 $112 75.51x 2026-11-03 17:22 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [Zonal Crest](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Zonal%20Crest) $1.49 $112 74.84x 2026-11-03 20:56 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [Dr. Rainer Winkler](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dr.%20Rainer%20Winkler) $1.49 $111 74.83x 2026-11-03 19:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=dreams-and-nightmares)

[MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.51 0.37x 2026-11-13 03:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.24 0.17x 2026-11-13 03:47 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.51 0.37x 2026-11-13 03:47 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) [YdahS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/YdahS) $1.38 $0.23 0.17x 2026-11-13 03:47 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.23 0.17x 2026-11-13 03:45 UTC

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $1.93 1.40x 2026-11-13 03:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $1.63 1.18x 2026-11-13 03:45 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) [FREERIO](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/FREERIO) $1.38 $0.23 0.17x 2026-11-13 03:45 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.52 0.38x 2026-11-13 03:27 UTC

[MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 $0.51 0.37x 2026-11-13 03:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC | $1.38 | 92.20% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 23:42 UTC | $1.38 | 92.19% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 22:54 UTC | $1.37 | 92.57% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 19:03 UTC | $1.37 | 92.51% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $1.37 | 92.42% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $1.37 | 92.27% | 15 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $1.37 | 92.28% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.37 | 92.49% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.37 | 92.41% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.37 | 92.49% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.38 | 92.33% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.37 | 92.47% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.37 | 92.26% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.37 | 92.69% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.37 | 92.58% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.38 | 92.77% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.40 | 92.34% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.48 | 92.32% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.48 | 92.30% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.50 | 92.35% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.50 | 92.54% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.49 | 92.47% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.50 | 92.29% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.47 | 92.54% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.48 | 92.22% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.47 | 92.74% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.47 | 92.61% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.46 | 92.65% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.46 | 92.40% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.46 | 92.59% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.1% covert 0.5% Legendary 0.4% Mythical 4.0% Restricted 12.0% #8847ff 5.0% milspec 7.0% Rare 43.0% #4b69ff 14.0% blue 14.0% best hit $113 (75.57x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.20 on average: an expected loss of $7.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt