---
title: "Farm AK-47 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Farm AK-47 ($0.54) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.97% from 12 items with odds, observed 87.98% over 206K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm AK-47

A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=all)

Price · $0.54

Advertised RTP · 92.97% · EV $0.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.98% · 206K openings, odds method

Variance · 95.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 323 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.29% ±13.63 19.7K openings

7 days · 88.09% ±4.81 153K openings

30 days · 87.98% ±4.15 206K openings

since tracking started · 87.98% ±4.15 206K openings

75.0% 89.3% 103.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.51% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (83.82% – 92.13%, 206,011 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=24h) | 19.7K | 89.29% ±13.6 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=7d) | 153K | 88.09% ±4.81 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47) | 206K | 87.98% ±4.15 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-ak47?window=all) | 206K | 87.98% ±4.15 | −2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 206K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $134 | 2.7% | 40 | 20.6 | 1.94× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $126 | 5.0% | 45 | 41.2 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $125 | 7.5% | 42 | 61.9 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $114 | 6.8% | 66 | 61.9 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $92.93 | 7.4% | 68 | 82.5 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $92.17 | 7.3% | 61 | 82.5 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $68.73 | 5.5% | 76 | 82.5 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $56.65 | 5.6% | 98 | 103.1 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $53.09 | 5.3% | 145 | 103.1 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $53.00 | 7.4% | 89 | 144.3 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $24.19 | 5.8% | 237 | 247.4 | 0.96× |
| [Charm \| Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) | 99.5% | $0.17 | 33.7% | 205,216 | 205152.1 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/easy_ak47`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [MonAmi3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MonAmi3e) $0.56 $138 247.2x 2026-11-02 22:50 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [AvRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AvRa) $0.57 $138 242.4x 2026-11-03 06:22 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [AvRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AvRa) $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-03 06:20 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [The Papi Pychro](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/The%20Papi%20Pychro) $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-03 04:15 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [The Papi Pychro](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/The%20Papi%20Pychro) $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-03 04:14 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-02 23:44 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [2Girls1CupCamGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/2Girls1CupCamGuy) $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-02 23:06 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [2Girls1CupCamGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/2Girls1CupCamGuy) $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-02 23:06 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $138 246.7x 2026-11-02 21:45 UTC

[AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) [9240](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/9240) $0.56 $138 246.0x 2026-11-03 03:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=easy-ak47)

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:31 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) [EBOLADOG 🙉](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/EBOLADOG%20%F0%9F%99%89) $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:31 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:29 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:29 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:29 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) [Guree!!!](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Guree!!!) $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:29 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) [ImSputzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ImSputzy) $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) [Triage Moneghetti](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Triage%20Moneghetti) $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:27 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $0.54 $0.17 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.54 | 92.97% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.54 | 92.91% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.55 | 92.84% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.54 | 92.82% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.54 | 93.02% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.54 | 92.73% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.55 | 92.97% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.55 | 93.23% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.54 | 93.22% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.55 | 93.07% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.57 | 91.95% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.56 | 93.28% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.58 | 92.00% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.58 | 91.81% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.58 | 91.98% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.57 | 92.02% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.57 | 91.96% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.56 | 93.29% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.55 | 92.68% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.56 | 91.71% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.55 | 92.03% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.55 | 91.94% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.56 | 91.89% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.56 | 91.95% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.56 | 92.02% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.56 | 92.29% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.57 | 92.24% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.56 | 92.11% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.55 | 91.87% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.54 | 93.30% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.1% Ancient 0.2% red 0.0% covert 0.1% Rare 99.5% best hit $138 (247.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.97 on average: an expected loss of $7.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt