---
title: "Farm AWP case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Farm AWP ($0.59) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.17% from 12 items with odds, observed 91.97% over 150K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm AWP

A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=all)

Price · $0.59

Advertised RTP · 93.17% · EV $0.55 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.97% · 150K openings, odds method

Variance · 84.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 244 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.84% ±14.83 14.2K openings

7 days · 92.30% ±5.41 108K openings

30 days · 91.97% ±4.59 150K openings

since tracking started · 91.97% ±4.59 150K openings

83.5% 99.0% 114.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=24h) | 14.2K | 98.84% ±14.8 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=7d) | 108K | 92.30% ±5.41 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp) | 150K | 91.97% ±4.59 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-awp?window=all) | 150K | 91.97% ±4.59 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 151K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $157 | 4.3% | 30 | 22.6 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $137 | 6.2% | 23 | 37.7 | 0.61× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $108 | 5.9% | 52 | 45.2 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $98.80 | 7.2% | 51 | 60.3 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $71.47 | 7.8% | 112 | 90.4 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $63.32 | 8.1% | 109 | 105.5 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $55.24 | 8.0% | 131 | 120.6 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $53.92 | 8.8% | 177 | 135.6 | 1.31× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $38.33 | 6.3% | 126 | 135.6 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $29.10 | 6.4% | 114 | 180.8 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $12.76 | 7.7% | 528 | 497.3 | 1.06× |
| [Charm \| Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) | 99.1% | $0.13 | 23.4% | 149,240 | 149261.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/easy_awp`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [c4.xElz3ra](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/c4.xElz3ra) $0.60 $162 269.5x 2026-11-03 01:24 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [\[Sh\_V\]\_mcartax\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5BSh_V%5D_mcartax_) $0.60 $159 265.7x 2026-11-03 08:43 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [United Airlines Employee #542333](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/United%20Airlines%20Employee%20%23542333) $0.60 $159 265.7x 2026-11-03 08:23 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [BKR](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BKR) $0.60 $159 265.7x 2026-11-03 08:17 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.60 $159 265.7x 2026-11-03 06:43 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [DasHuhnLP](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DasHuhnLP) $0.59 $158 268.4x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.60 $158 263.1x 2026-11-04 15:19 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.60 $158 263.0x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.60 $158 263.0x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.60 $158 262.5x 2026-11-07 01:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=easy-awp)

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Ysera](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ysera) $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Ysera](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ysera) $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Ysera](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ysera) $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Ysera](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ysera) $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Ysera](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ysera) $0.60 $0.14 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.59 | 93.17% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.60 | 93.05% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.60 | 92.76% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.60 | 92.65% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.60 | 92.40% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.58 | 93.12% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.59 | 92.95% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.59 | 93.05% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.59 | 92.99% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.59 | 92.80% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.59 | 93.24% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.60 | 92.87% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.61 | 92.99% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.61 | 92.97% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.61 | 93.23% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.62 | 91.90% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.61 | 91.84% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.60 | 93.18% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.59 | 92.86% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.59 | 92.61% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.60 | 92.27% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.59 | 92.26% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.60 | 92.07% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.60 | 92.31% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.60 | 92.26% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.59 | 92.44% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.60 | 92.16% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.60 | 92.23% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.60 | 92.43% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.60 | 92.34% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Ancient 0.0% covert 0.3% classified 0.1% rare 0.2% Legendary 0.3% Rare 99.1% best hit $162 (269.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.17 on average: an expected loss of $6.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt