--- title: "Farm Knives case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm Knives ($1.33) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.61% from 13 items with odds, observed 90.82% over 282K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife rendered: 2026-11-12T02:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm Knives A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=all) Price · $1.33 Advertised RTP · 92.61% · EV $1.23 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.82% · 282K openings, odds method Variance · 85.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 244 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.12% ±10.66 28.7K openings 7 days · 92.34% ±3.85 222K openings 30 days · 90.82% ±3.41 282K openings since tracking started · 90.82% ±3.41 282K openings 86.0% 97.2% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=24h) | 28.7K | 97.12% ±10.7 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=7d) | 222K | 92.34% ±3.85 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife) | 282K | 90.82% ±3.41 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-knife?window=all) | 282K | 90.82% ±3.41 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 282K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $292 | 2.4% | 25 | 28.2 | 0.89× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $252 | 4.1% | 51 | 56.5 | 0.90× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $184 | 6.0% | 130 | 112.9 | 1.15× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $168 | 5.4% | 141 | 112.9 | 1.25× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $157 | 7.7% | 191 | 169.4 | 1.13× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $155 | 10.1% | 159 | 225.9 | 0.70× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $133 | 8.6% | 243 | 225.9 | 1.08× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $122 | 7.9% | 236 | 225.9 | 1.04× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $122 | 8.9% | 221 | 254.1 | 0.87× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $118 | 9.6% | 269 | 282.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $105 | 8.5% | 264 | 282.3 | 0.94× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $64.28 | 10.4% | 560 | 564.7 | 0.99× | | [Charm \| Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) | 99.1% | $0.13 | 10.5% | 279,837 | 279786.1 | 1.00× | Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/easy_knife`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Embod1ment](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Embod1ment) $1.37 $313 228.7x 2026-11-02 23:06 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Erjon\_11](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Erjon_11) $1.37 $313 228.6x 2026-11-02 22:08 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.36 $313 230.2x 2026-11-04 08:57 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.34 $313 233.4x 2026-11-04 20:43 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [MattyNice115](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MattyNice115) $1.35 $313 231.6x 2026-11-05 20:01 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [MattyNice115](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MattyNice115) $1.34 $313 233.3x 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.34 $313 233.3x 2026-11-05 19:51 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Myron](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Myron) $1.35 $312 231.1x 2026-11-06 14:29 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Mindoze](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mindoze) $1.35 $311 230.1x 2026-11-06 21:10 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Mindoze](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mindoze) $1.35 $311 230.1x 2026-11-06 21:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=easy-knife) [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [AnikCotMaratek](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AnikCotMaratek) $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [AnikCotMaratek](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AnikCotMaratek) $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [AnikCotMaratek](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AnikCotMaratek) $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [ThatBartleyGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ThatBartleyGuy) $1.33 $0.13 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.33 | 92.61% | 13 | | 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.34 | 92.16% | 13 | | 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.32 | 92.39% | 13 | | 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.32 | 92.46% | 13 | | 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.32 | 92.41% | 13 | | 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.33 | 92.27% | 13 | | 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.31 | 92.79% | 13 | | 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.33 | 92.55% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.34 | 92.19% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.33 | 92.55% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.33 | 92.76% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.35 | 92.40% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.35 | 92.48% | 13 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.35 | 92.51% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.35 | 92.47% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.35 | 92.30% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.36 | 92.64% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.34 | 92.58% | 13 | | 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.35 | 92.31% | 13 | | 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.34 | 92.68% | 13 | | 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.34 | 92.65% | 13 | | 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.34 | 92.79% | 13 | | 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.35 | 92.30% | 13 | | 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $1.34 | 92.83% | 13 | | 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.35 | 92.67% | 13 | | 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.34 | 92.71% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.34 | 92.73% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.34 | 92.82% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.35 | 92.19% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.35 | 92.40% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 0.8% epic 0.0% Immortal 0.1% Rare 99.1% best hit $313 (228.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.61 on average: an expected loss of $7.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt