--- title: "Factory New case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Factory New ($32.50) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.13% over 3,752 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new rendered: 2026-11-12T01:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Factory New](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Factory New A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=all) Price · $32.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.13% · 3,752 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 294 openings · below min 7 days · 96.29% ±5.56 2,953 openings 30 days · 98.13% ±5.08 3,752 openings since tracking started · 98.13% ±5.08 3,752 openings 83.0% 100.5% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=24h) | 294 | 100.60% ±16.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=7d) | 2,953 | 96.29% ±5.56 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new) | 3,752 | 98.13% ±5.08 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/factory-new?window=all) | 3,752 | 98.13% ±5.08 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=factory-new) [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $33.43 $16.40 0.49x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [Glock-18 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) [:(](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%3A%28) $33.43 $90.68 2.71x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $33.36 $22.86 0.69x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) [Pipi](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Pipi) $33.36 $16.35 0.49x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $33.36 $12.75 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $33.36 $68.97 2.07x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $33.36 $60.72 1.82x 2026-11-12 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $33.36 $68.97 2.07x 2026-11-12 00:05 UTC [MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) [Pipi](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Pipi) $33.36 $9.18 0.28x 2026-11-12 00:05 UTC [Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) [~𝔩𝔦𝔤𝔥𝔱~](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/~%F0%9D%94%A9%F0%9D%94%A6%F0%9D%94%A4%F0%9D%94%A5%F0%9D%94%B1~) $33.36 $39.85 1.19x 2026-11-12 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.13 on average: an expected loss of $1.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt