--- title: "False Trail case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "False Trail ($2.37) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.36% over 75.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail rendered: 2026-11-11T22:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [False Trail](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · False Trail A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=all) Price · $2.37 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.36% · 75.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 99.40% ±18.53 8,871 openings 7 days · 95.03% ±7.28 59.6K openings 30 days · 95.36% ±6.70 75.9K openings since tracking started · 95.36% ±6.70 75.9K openings 80.0% 99.3% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=24h) | 8,871 | 99.40% ±18.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=7d) | 59.6K | 95.03% ±7.28 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail) | 75.9K | 95.36% ±6.70 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/false-trail?window=all) | 75.9K | 95.36% ±6.70 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2.36 $1,609 681.7x 2026-11-06 20:00 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2.36 $1,609 681.7x 2026-11-03 23:31 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2.36 $1,609 681.7x 2026-11-03 18:59 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-minimal-wear) [Diamond Rebel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Diamond%20Rebel) $2.36 $1,266 536.4x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-minimal-wear) [Lil Scot](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lil%20Scot) $2.36 $1,266 536.4x 2026-11-04 03:30 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $1,156 490.0x 2026-11-08 02:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $1,156 490.0x 2026-11-07 01:55 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $1,156 490.0x 2026-11-06 21:40 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.36 $1,156 490.0x 2026-11-06 21:33 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) [Dawai Lama](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dawai%20Lama) $2.36 $1,116 472.7x 2026-11-08 21:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=false-trail) [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) [axel.1992](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/axel.1992) $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) [axel.1992](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/axel.1992) $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) [axel.1992](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/axel.1992) $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC [Sticker | SAS Chicken sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sas-chicken) Hidden $2.33 $1.04 0.45x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,609 (681.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.36 on average: an expected loss of $4.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt