---
title: "Farm Phases case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Farm Phases ($1.88) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.62% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.76% over 97.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm Phases](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm Phases

A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=all)

Price · $1.88

Advertised RTP · 92.62% · EV $1.74 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.76% · 97.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 138.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.48% ±19.72 13.7K openings

7 days · 96.51% ±8.36 77.7K openings

30 days · 94.76% ±7.45 97.3K openings

since tracking started · 94.76% ±7.45 97.3K openings

78.0% 98.5% 119.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=24h) | 13.7K | 98.48% ±19.7 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=7d) | 77.7K | 96.51% ±8.36 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase) | 97.3K | 94.76% ±7.45 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-phase?window=all) | 97.3K | 94.76% ±7.45 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 97.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $596 | 6.8% | 19 | 19.5 | 0.98× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,333 | $414 | 7.1% | 42 | 29.2 | 1.44× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · Immortal · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 3,333 | $387 | 6.7% | 35 | 29.2 | 1.20× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 2,500 | $383 | 8.8% | 40 | 38.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $347 | 10.0% | 44 | 48.6 | 0.90× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $295 | 8.5% | 79 | 48.6 | 1.62× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,250 | $290 | 13.3% | 110 | 77.8 | 1.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) weapon · Ancient · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 667 | $232 | 20.0% | 80 | 145.9 | 0.55× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Field-Tested) (Phase 2) weapon · Ancient · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-field-tested-phase-2) | 1 in 400 | $79.58 | 11.4% | 243 | 243.2 | 1.00× |
| [Charm \| Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) | 99.3% | $0.13 | 7.4% | 96,604 | 96614.9 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-phase`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1.89 $663 351.0x 2026-11-11 00:56 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) [Seneka](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Seneka) $1.89 $663 351.0x 2026-11-11 00:37 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Nimble Falcon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Nimble%20Falcon) $1.85 $657 355.1x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) [ᴇʀɪᴋ ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E1%B4%87%CA%80%C9%AA%E1%B4%8B%20%E3%83%84) $1.85 $657 355.1x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1.85 $628 339.5x 2026-11-10 14:24 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) [𝔐𝔯𝔇](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%F0%9D%94%90%F0%9D%94%AF%F0%9D%94%87) $2.02 $613 303.2x 2026-11-03 22:44 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $2.05 $611 298.1x 2026-11-06 18:51 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $2.05 $610 297.5x 2026-11-03 01:19 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $2.06 $610 296.1x 2026-11-02 23:09 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $2.02 $610 301.9x 2026-11-03 16:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=farm-phase)

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [hami](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/hami) $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [hami](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/hami) $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [hami](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/hami) $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1.89 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $1.88 | 92.62% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.88 | 92.43% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.88 | 92.51% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.87 | 92.33% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.88 | 92.54% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.85 | 92.27% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.85 | 92.32% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.83 | 92.63% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.83 | 92.68% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.88 | 92.65% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.89 | 92.44% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $2.00 | 92.48% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $2.00 | 92.66% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $2.03 | 92.39% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $2.00 | 92.56% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $2.00 | 92.30% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $2.00 | 92.57% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $2.00 | 92.69% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $2.02 | 92.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $2.04 | 92.33% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $2.05 | 92.66% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.06 | 92.39% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.07 | 92.61% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.07 | 92.61% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.06 | 92.35% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.05 | 92.32% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $2.04 | 92.59% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.00 | 92.49% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.00 | 92.60% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | $2.00 | 92.61% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.3% Ancient 0.4% Rare 99.3% best hit $663 (351.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.62 on average: an expected loss of $7.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt