---
title: "Farm Pistols case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Farm Pistols ($0.49) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.40% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.30% over 99K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Farm Pistols](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Farm Pistols

A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=all)

Price · $0.49

Advertised RTP · 93.40% · EV $0.46 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.30% · 99K openings, odds method

Variance · 90.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.52% ±18.23 10.7K openings

7 days · 88.93% ±6.93 67.6K openings

30 days · 89.30% ±5.66 99K openings

since tracking started · 89.30% ±5.66 99K openings

76.5% 95.5% 114.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=24h) | 10.7K | 95.52% ±18.2 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=7d) | 67.6K | 88.93% ±6.93 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols) | 99K | 89.30% ±5.66 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/farm-pistols?window=all) | 99K | 89.30% ±5.66 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 99.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $105 | 2.3% | 45 | 9.9 | 4.54× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $100 | 8.8% | 41 | 39.7 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $100 | 13.1% | 26 | 59.5 | 0.44× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $70.06 | 12.2% | 66 | 79.3 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $53.10 | 11.6% | 104 | 99.1 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $33.48 | 8.0% | 96 | 109.0 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $32.90 | 8.6% | 121 | 119.0 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $23.19 | 7.1% | 142 | 138.8 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $21.25 | 6.5% | 133 | 138.8 | 0.96× |
| [Charm \| Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) | 99.2% | $0.10 | 21.7% | 98,352 | 98333.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-pistols`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [boughtonj345](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/boughtonj345) $0.56 $107 190.8x 2026-11-03 11:24 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $107 190.4x 2026-11-03 15:02 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [@knugen](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%40knugen) $0.56 $107 190.4x 2026-11-03 14:44 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-09 06:39 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 19:04 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 18:42 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 12:10 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [SisAtma Gundi ヅ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SisAtma%20Gundi%20%E3%83%85) $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 10:41 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [Dr. Rainer Winkler](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dr.%20Rainer%20Winkler) $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 10:40 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [WuitWeeD](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/WuitWeeD) $0.56 $106 190.2x 2026-11-08 10:38 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=farm-pistols)

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:44 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) [brunocassio344](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/brunocassio344) $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:44 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) Hidden $0.49 $23.19 47.33x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) [pttype](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/pttype) $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) [pttype](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/pttype) $0.49 $0.10 0.20x 2026-11-13 03:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC | $0.49 | 93.40% | 10 |
| 12 Nov, 22:54 UTC | $0.48 | 93.26% | 10 |
| 12 Nov, 19:03 UTC | $0.48 | 93.26% | 10 |
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $0.48 | 93.12% | 10 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $0.51 | 92.12% | 10 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.51 | 92.13% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.52 | 92.16% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.51 | 91.67% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.51 | 91.90% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.51 | 91.81% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.51 | 93.26% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.51 | 91.88% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.49 | 92.16% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.49 | 92.08% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.49 | 91.74% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.49 | 92.53% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.56 | 92.04% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $0.56 | 91.96% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $0.56 | 92.15% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $0.56 | 92.08% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $0.56 | 92.17% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.57 | 92.48% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% rare 0.5% red 0.1% restricted 0.1% Rare 99.2% best hit $107 (190.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.40 on average: an expected loss of $6.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt