--- title: "Fire Horse case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fire Horse ($10.66) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.89% over 4,183 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse rendered: 2026-11-12T10:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Fire Horse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Fire Horse A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=all) Price · $10.66 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.89% · 4,183 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 323 openings · below min 7 days · 97.52% ±10.28 3,236 openings 30 days · 94.89% ±8.60 4,183 openings since tracking started · 94.89% ±8.60 4,183 openings 58.5% 83.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=24h) | 323 | 82.63% ±23.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=7d) | 3,236 | 97.52% ±10.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse) | 4,183 | 94.89% ±8.60 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fire-horse?window=all) | 4,183 | 94.89% ±8.60 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.70 $878 82.01x 2026-11-06 11:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=fire-horse) [Sealed Graffiti | Unicorn graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-unicorn) Hidden $10.24 $0.76 0.07x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Pegasus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pegasus) [Jiggy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jiggy) $10.24 $0.23 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $10.24 $35.77 3.49x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Hippocamp sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hippocamp) Hidden $10.24 $0.15 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Pegasus (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pegasus-holo) Hidden $10.24 $1.21 0.12x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Hippocamp sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hippocamp) [Jiggy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jiggy) $10.24 $0.15 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Hippocamp sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hippocamp) Hidden $10.24 $0.15 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Unicorn graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-unicorn) Hidden $10.24 $0.76 0.07x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [Sticker | Hippocamp sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hippocamp) Hidden $10.24 $0.15 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-battle-scarred) [Jiggy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jiggy) $10.24 $86.44 8.44x 2026-11-12 10:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $878 (82.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.89 on average: an expected loss of $5.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt