---
title: "Full Flash case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Full Flash ($0.37) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.89% from 21 items with odds, observed 92.18% over 131K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Full Flash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Full Flash

A case on Skin.club (Our Special), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=all)

Price · $0.37

Advertised RTP · 91.89% · EV $0.34 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.18% · 131K openings, odds method

Variance · 15.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.84% ±6.46 14.8K openings

7 days · 92.21% ±2.38 104K openings

30 days · 92.18% ±2.11 131K openings

since tracking started · 92.18% ±2.11 131K openings

80.5% 87.8% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=24h) | 14.8K | 87.84% ±6.46 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=7d) | 104K | 92.21% ±2.38 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash) | 131K | 92.18% ±2.11 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/full-flash?window=all) | 131K | 92.18% ±2.11 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 131K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $110 | 3.2% | 13 | 13.1 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $27.69 | 4.1% | 112 | 65.6 | 1.71× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $18.61 | 5.5% | 80 | 131.2 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $8.23 | 3.6% | 192 | 196.7 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 526 | $5.81 | 3.2% | 270 | 249.2 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $4.72 | 2.8% | 266 | 262.3 | 1.01× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3.80 | 2.2% | 251 | 262.3 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $2.39 | 2.8% | 524 | 524.6 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $1.33 | 2.7% | 1,037 | 918.1 | 1.13× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $0.81 | 1.9% | 933 | 1049.2 | 0.89× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.58 | 3.4% | 2,625 | 2623.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.47 | 4.1% | 6,139 | 3934.5 | 1.56× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.45 | 2.6% | 3,394 | 2623.0 | 1.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.39 | 6.9% | 10,508 | 7869.0 | 1.34× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.37 | 7.6% | 10,948 | 9180.5 | 1.19× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 10.1% | $0.29 | 8.6% | 12,426 | 13246.2 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.29 | 7.7% | 11,035 | 11803.5 | 0.93× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.28 | 7.4% | 9,767 | 11803.5 | 0.83× |
| [MAC-10 \| Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.26 | 9.2% | 12,052 | 15738.0 | 0.77× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 16.1% | $0.10 | 4.7% | 23,537 | 21115.2 | 1.11× |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) | 21.0% | $0.09 | 5.6% | 25,041 | 27541.5 | 0.91× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/full-flash`, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [nagazzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/nagazzz) $0.38 $112 293.7x 2026-11-02 22:01 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [2Girls1CupCamGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/2Girls1CupCamGuy) $0.38 $111 292.1x 2026-11-03 08:28 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [2Girls1CupCamGuy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/2Girls1CupCamGuy) $0.38 $111 292.1x 2026-11-03 08:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $0.38 $111 291.9x 2026-11-04 07:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $0.36 $111 307.9x 2026-11-10 15:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $0.36 $111 307.9x 2026-11-10 15:11 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [BABYMYTYPE](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BABYMYTYPE) $0.38 $111 291.6x 2026-11-07 18:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [MAKAKOO](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MAKAKOO) $0.38 $111 291.5x 2026-11-06 21:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [bxgrapeak](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/bxgrapeak) $0.36 $111 307.6x 2026-11-10 12:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [Sakál01](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Sak%C3%A1l01) $0.37 $111 299.0x 2026-11-09 18:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=full-flash)

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [Sekeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Sekeee) $0.37 $8.20 22.16x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-field-tested) [EA/\_vieeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/EA%2F_vieeee) $0.37 $0.28 0.76x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [Hichem](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Hichem) $0.37 $0.29 0.78x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [W Bush](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/W%20Bush) $0.37 $0.09 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) [EduPetru](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/EduPetru) $0.37 $0.45 1.22x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 $0.09 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 $0.09 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) [W Bush](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/W%20Bush) $0.37 $0.26 0.70x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [EduPetru](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/EduPetru) $0.37 $0.29 0.78x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 $0.26 0.70x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.37 | 91.89% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.36 | 92.69% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.37 | 91.42% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.37 | 91.57% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.36 | 93.30% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.37 | 91.49% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.36 | 93.07% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.37 | 91.95% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.37 | 92.24% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.39 | 91.87% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $0.39 | 91.88% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.39 | 91.54% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.39 | 92.02% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.39 | 92.54% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.39 | 91.42% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.38 | 93.14% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.38 | 93.18% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.38 | 92.59% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.38 | 92.07% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.38 | 92.02% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.38 | 91.30% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.38 | 91.37% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.38 | 92.07% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.38 | 92.18% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.38 | 92.42% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.39 | 92.61% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.39 | 93.26% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.39 | 93.33% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.39 | 92.98% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.39 | 91.39% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% Mythical 2.1% classified 0.1% Legendary 0.4% #d32ee6 0.2% restricted 0.6% mil spec 4.5% #4b69ff 11.0% Rare 74.2% blue 7.0% best hit $112 (293.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.89 on average: an expected loss of $8.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt