--- title: "HLTV Confirmed case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HLTV Confirmed ($20.97) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.79% over 8,024 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed rendered: 2026-11-12T09:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [HLTV Confirmed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · HLTV Confirmed A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=all) Price · $20.97 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.79% · 8,024 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.07% ±12.30 1,355 openings 7 days · 93.97% ±5.59 5,644 openings 30 days · 91.79% ±4.54 8,024 openings since tracking started · 91.79% ±4.54 8,024 openings 85.0% 98.0% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=24h) | 1,355 | 98.07% ±12.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=7d) | 5,644 | 93.97% ±5.59 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed) | 8,024 | 91.79% ±4.54 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hltv-confirmed?window=all) | 8,024 | 91.79% ±4.54 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [BangheS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BangheS) $21.11 $617 29.24x 2026-11-05 10:12 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Rabo Hood](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Rabo%20Hood) $21.02 $591 28.13x 2026-11-04 22:31 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Symb](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Symb) $21.13 $569 26.92x 2026-11-07 02:07 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.98 $568 27.09x 2026-11-05 01:36 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.02 $567 27.00x 2026-11-06 20:05 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.07 $565 26.83x 2026-11-05 19:20 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.80 $563 27.07x 2026-11-03 15:13 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Medieval](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Medieval) $20.87 $561 26.88x 2026-11-04 01:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [SoRRReRiiNo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SoRRReRiiNo) $20.97 $560 26.68x 2026-11-09 23:27 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.97 $560 26.68x 2026-11-09 23:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=hltv-confirmed) [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.43 $2.10 0.17x 2026-11-12 09:24 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $12.43 $55.57 4.47x 2026-11-12 09:24 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) [TeNe](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/TeNe) $12.43 $2.10 0.17x 2026-11-12 09:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.41 $8.96 0.72x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.41 $2.05 0.17x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $12.41 $17.66 1.42x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) [Varsul](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Varsul) $12.41 $1.77 0.14x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.41 $31.58 2.54x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $12.41 $17.66 1.42x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.41 $5.24 0.42x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $617 (29.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.79 on average: an expected loss of $8.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt