--- title: "Hot case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hot ($6.05) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.07% over 7,520 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase rendered: 2026-11-12T03:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Hot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Hot A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=all) Price · $6.05 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.07% · 7,520 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 922 openings · below min 7 days · 100.97% ±10.92 5,400 openings 30 days · 98.07% ±8.16 7,520 openings since tracking started · 98.07% ±8.16 7,520 openings 78.5% 129.3% 180.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=24h) | 922 | 129.22% ±49.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=7d) | 5,400 | 100.97% ±10.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase) | 7,520 | 98.07% ±8.16 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/hotcase?window=all) | 7,520 | 98.07% ±8.16 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $7.50 $757 100.9x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $7.48 $754 100.9x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $7.48 $754 100.9x 2026-11-11 12:14 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $7.49 $753 100.6x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $7.50 $485 64.70x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=hotcase) [Galil AR | Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) Hidden $7.50 $12.72 1.70x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.50 $4.70 0.63x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.50 $2.08 0.28x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [BlazinMadMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BlazinMadMan) $7.50 $0.64 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) [Sharpey\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Sharpey*-4812622) $7.50 $43.13 5.75x 2026-11-12 02:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) [ɐʎɐdɐd](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C9%90%CA%8E%C9%90d%C9%90d) $7.50 $38.92 5.19x 2026-11-12 01:53 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) [Armuha](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Armuha) $7.50 $43.13 5.75x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $7.52 $43.13 5.74x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.52 $2.10 0.28x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) [Armuha](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Armuha) $7.52 $2.10 0.28x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $757 (100.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.07 on average: an expected loss of $1.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt