---
title: "It Moves case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "It Moves ($1.42) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.36% from 19 items with odds, observed 94.47% over 41.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [It Moves](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · It Moves

A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=all)

Price · $1.42

Advertised RTP · 92.36% · EV $1.31 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.47% · 41.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.46% ±7.38 2,513 openings

7 days · 94.01% ±2.10 30.4K openings

30 days · 94.47% ±1.82 41.3K openings

since tracking started · 94.47% ±1.82 41.3K openings

83.5% 91.5% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=24h) | 2,513 | 91.46% ±7.38 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=7d) | 30.4K | 94.01% ±2.10 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves) | 41.3K | 94.47% ±1.82 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/it-moves?window=all) | 41.3K | 94.47% ±1.82 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 41.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Ultraviolet Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ultraviolet-poison-frog-foil) | 1 in 500 | $37.08 | 5.7% | 105 | 83.4 | 1.26× |
| [Sticker \| Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) | 1 in 333 | $19.59 | 4.5% | 182 | 125.0 | 1.46× |
| [Sticker \| Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) | 1 in 333 | $17.20 | 3.9% | 209 | 125.0 | 1.67× |
| [Sticker \| Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) | 1 in 250 | $14.57 | 4.4% | 173 | 166.7 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Neon Opal Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neon-opal-strafe-holo) | 1 in 200 | $14.10 | 5.4% | 140 | 208.4 | 0.67× |
| [Sticker \| Magic Rush Ball (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magic-rush-ball-lenticular) | 1 in 200 | $9.53 | 3.6% | 239 | 208.4 | 1.15× |
| [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 167 | $7.82 | 3.6% | 170 | 250.1 | 0.68× |
| [Sticker \| Old School (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-old-school-lenticular) | 1 in 83 | $4.50 | 4.1% | 496 | 500.1 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| TV Installation (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-installation-lenticular) | 1 in 67 | $3.08 | 3.5% | 635 | 625.1 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Global TV (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-tv-lenticular) | 1 in 67 | $2.48 | 2.8% | 667 | 625.1 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Econometer (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-econometer-lenticular) | 1 in 50 | $2.12 | 3.2% | 787 | 833.5 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| DJ Safecracker (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dj-safecracker-lenticular) | 1 in 25 | $1.91 | 5.8% | 1,605 | 1667.0 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Freeze (Lenticular) sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-freeze-lenticular) | 1 in 14 | $1.30 | 6.9% | 4,951 | 2917.3 | 1.70× |
| [Sticker \| Skin Lover (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skin-lover-lenticular) | 12.0% | $1.21 | 11.1% | 4,661 | 5001.0 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Small Arms (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-small-arms-holo) | 12.0% | $0.86 | 7.9% | 5,152 | 5001.0 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) | 14.0% | $0.81 | 8.6% | 4,144 | 5834.5 | 0.71× |
| [Sticker \| Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) | 14.0% | $0.56 | 6.0% | 5,787 | 5834.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Delicious Tears sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-delicious-tears) | 14.0% | $0.53 | 5.7% | 5,766 | 5834.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Mind Games (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mind-games-holo) | 14.0% | $0.30 | 3.2% | 5,806 | 5834.5 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/it-moves`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=it-moves)

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) [Woops](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Woops) $1.42 $0.87 0.61x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Freeze (Lenticular) sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-freeze-lenticular) [✪Kaso](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%9C%AAKaso) $1.42 $1.28 0.90x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Delicious Tears sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-delicious-tears) [LordFoogThe2st](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LordFoogThe2st) $1.42 $0.53 0.37x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Skin Lover (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skin-lover-lenticular) [wonk](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/wonk) $1.42 $1.21 0.85x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Delicious Tears sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-delicious-tears) [Woops](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Woops) $1.42 $0.53 0.37x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Skin Lover (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skin-lover-lenticular) [✪Kaso](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%9C%AAKaso) $1.42 $1.21 0.85x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Small Arms (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-small-arms-holo) [LordFoogThe2st](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LordFoogThe2st) $1.42 $0.86 0.61x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) [wonk](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/wonk) $1.42 $0.87 0.61x 2026-11-11 23:45 UTC

[Sticker | Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) [LordFoogThe2st](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LordFoogThe2st) $1.42 $0.54 0.38x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC

[Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) [wonk](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/wonk) $1.42 $17.21 12.12x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.42 | 92.36% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.41 | 92.47% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.41 | 92.83% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.45 | 92.20% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.44 | 92.65% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.43 | 92.69% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.48 | 92.48% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.48 | 92.29% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.47 | 92.66% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.50 | 92.60% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.58 | 92.38% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.54 | 92.63% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.54 | 92.33% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.56 | 92.68% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.56 | 92.26% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.52 | 92.48% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.53 | 92.26% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.54 | 92.35% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.51 | 92.75% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.52 | 92.75% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.52 | 92.50% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.53 | 92.56% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.51 | 92.23% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $1.52 | 92.62% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.52 | 92.45% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.52 | 92.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.51 | 92.42% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.50 | 92.43% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.51 | 92.76% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.53 | 92.22% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed exotic 0.6% Mythical 26.9% Ancient 19.8% remarkable 0.5% extraordinary 0.5% red 2.7% Extraordinary 7.0% Rare 42.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.36 on average: an expected loss of $7.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt