---
title: "Jörmungandr case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jörmungandr ($2.57) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.44% from 50 items with odds, observed 93.22% over 25.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr
rendered: 2026-11-12T03:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Jörmungandr](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Jörmungandr

A case on Skin.club (Colossal Hoards), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=all)

Price · $2.57

Advertised RTP · 92.44% · EV $2.38 from 50 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.22% · 25.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 46.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 108 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.76% ±29.97 1,994 openings

7 days · 93.86% ±9.70 19.2K openings

30 days · 93.22% ±8.41 25.6K openings

since tracking started · 93.22% ±8.41 25.6K openings

49.0% 79.8% 110.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=24h) | 1,994 | 79.76% ±30.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=7d) | 19.2K | 93.86% ±9.70 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr) | 25.6K | 93.22% ±8.41 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/jormungandr?window=all) | 25.6K | 93.22% ±8.41 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,289 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $850 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $555 | 2.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $482 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $406 | 1.7% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $396 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $332 | 1.4% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $288 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $287 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $269 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $256 | 1.4% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $234 | 2.0% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) weapon · Ancient · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 5,000 | $232 | 2.0% | 2 | 5.1 | 0.39× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $202 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $198 | 1.7% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.75× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 5,000 | $197 | 1.7% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.75× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $168 | 2.1% | 7 | 7.7 | 0.91× |
| [Charm \| Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) | 1 in 2,500 | $127 | 2.1% | 10 | 10.3 | 0.97× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $127 | 2.1% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $123 | 2.1% | 18 | 10.3 | 1.75× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $106 | 1.8% | 19 | 10.3 | 1.85× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $102 | 1.7% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $101 | 1.7% | 15 | 10.3 | 1.46× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $88.91 | 1.5% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $70.28 | 1.8% | 13 | 15.4 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $63.44 | 1.6% | 15 | 15.4 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $58.93 | 1.7% | 24 | 18.0 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $56.68 | 1.7% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $48.87 | 1.6% | 26 | 20.5 | 1.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $47.03 | 1.6% | 25 | 20.5 | 1.22× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $46.07 | 1.7% | 28 | 23.1 | 1.21× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $38.35 | 1.5% | 27 | 23.1 | 1.17× |
| [Charm \| 8 Ball IGL charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-8-ball-igl) | 1 in 1,111 | $34.98 | 1.3% | 29 | 23.1 | 1.26× |
| [Charm \| Hot Howl charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-howl) | 1 in 667 | $19.56 | 1.2% | 37 | 38.5 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $14.19 | 0.9% | 38 | 38.5 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $13.36 | 1.1% | 50 | 51.3 | 0.97× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Serpent charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-serpent) | 1 in 500 | $10.59 | 0.9% | 58 | 51.3 | 1.13× |
| [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 1 in 200 | $8.84 | 1.9% | 147 | 128.3 | 1.15× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6.01 | 2.5% | 265 | 256.7 | 1.03× |
| [Charm \| Piñatita charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pinatita) | 1 in 50 | $3.32 | 2.8% | 481 | 513.4 | 0.94× |
| [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 1 in 34 | $2.96 | 3.6% | 756 | 744.4 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.70 | 3.4% | 887 | 770.1 | 1.15× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $2.63 | 4.4% | 907 | 1026.8 | 0.88× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.68 | 5.7% | 2,043 | 2053.5 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.94 | 4.0% | 2,553 | 2566.9 | 0.99× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.63 | 2.7% | 2,543 | 2566.9 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.57 | 2.9% | 3,164 | 3080.3 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.50 | 2.9% | 3,551 | 3593.7 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $0.41 | 2.2% | 3,316 | 3337.0 | 0.99× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-minimal-wear) | 17.7% | $0.17 | 1.3% | 4,522 | 4543.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/jormungandr`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.62 $852 325.2x 2026-11-03 02:37 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $2.62 $594 226.6x 2026-11-02 23:28 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [$L](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%24L) $2.58 $584 226.4x 2026-11-07 10:53 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Kekas](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Kekas) $2.59 $584 225.3x 2026-11-07 13:55 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $2.59 $578 223.1x 2026-11-05 09:28 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [emancomchua](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/emancomchua) $2.58 $564 218.7x 2026-11-08 22:21 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [HVAC Cregyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/HVAC%20Cregyy) $2.59 $509 196.4x 2026-11-07 17:44 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Baron Heinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Baron%20Heinz) $2.59 $495 191.2x 2026-11-07 12:20 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $2.58 $491 190.2x 2026-11-07 06:09 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $2.58 $488 189.1x 2026-11-06 20:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=jormungandr)

[P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-field-tested) Hidden $2.57 $0.63 0.25x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) [808BigBotogang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/808BigBotogang) $2.57 $0.50 0.19x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.57 $6.01 2.34x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) Hidden $2.57 $0.94 0.37x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[P2000 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.57 $1.68 0.65x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) [808BigBotogang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/808BigBotogang) $2.57 $0.57 0.22x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $2.57 $0.50 0.19x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.57 $0.57 0.22x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.57 $0.58 0.23x 2026-11-12 02:32 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) [808BigBotogang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/808BigBotogang) $2.57 $2.71 1.05x 2026-11-12 02:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $2.57 | 92.44% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $2.56 | 92.65% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $2.55 | 92.66% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $2.55 | 92.61% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $2.56 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.55 | 92.59% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.56 | 92.35% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.56 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.57 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.56 | 92.63% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $2.58 | 92.39% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.58 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $2.58 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $2.58 | 92.38% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $2.58 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $2.60 | 92.33% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $2.59 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $2.60 | 92.45% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $2.59 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $2.59 | 92.51% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $2.58 | 92.59% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $2.58 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $2.58 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.58 | 92.36% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.57 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.58 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.59 | 92.39% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.59 | 92.58% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $2.60 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $2.60 | 92.61% | 50 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.1% restricted 3.0% covert 0.6% red 0.3% legendary 0.0% gold 0.1% Ancient 0.4% rare 0.5% extraordinary 0.0% uncommon 0.2% #d32ce6 2.2% classified 1.0% Legendary 2.9% mil spec 17.0% Rare 47.7% Mythical 24.0% best hit $852 (325.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.44 on average: an expected loss of $7.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt